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Daily Commentary - Posted by on April 15, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Thursday – April 16, 2009

Trading the Odds on Thursday - April 16, 2009 On Wednesday's session not the probabilities concerning a higher or lower close on a higher/lower open were the dominant factor (following the direction of the open), but the  significant above-averag

Daily Commentary - Posted by on April 15, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Wednesday – April 15, 2009 -follow up-

Follow-up on Trading the Odds on Wednesday - April 15, 2009 This is a follow-up on my post Trading the Odds on Wednesday - April 15, 2009. Due to the fact that market breadth (Advancing Issues, Declining Issues, Advancing Issues, Declining Issues,

Daily Commentary - Posted by on April 14, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Wednesday – April 15, 2009

Trading the Odds on Wednesday - April 15, 2009 On Tuesday the market perfectly complied to the historical probabilities and odds concerning the three consecutive higher highs, higher lows and higher closes than the previous session's high/low/clos

Daily Commentary - Posted by on April 14, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Tuesday – April 14, 2009

Trading the Odds on Tuesday - April 14, 2009 [unfortunately there was a data issue concerning Tuesday's post, but the bottom line didn't change; the data issue has been corrected] On Monday the market almost perfectly complied to the historical proba

Daily Commentary - Posted by on April 11, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Monday – April 13, 2009

Trading the Odds on Monday - April 13, 2009 Thursday's session was -concerning the '6 Highs' setup triggered on Wednesday's session which had negative short-term implication for Thursday's session- clearly a miss (see my posting Trading the Odds on T

Daily Commentary - Posted by on April 8, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Thursday – April 9, 2009

Trading the Odds on Thursday - April 9, 2009 Wednesday's session played -almost perfectly- out as expected (see my posting Trading the Odds on Wednesday - April 8, 2009): Overnight weakness in ES E-mini futures (down more than -1.0% in the GLOBEX se

Studies, Trading Strategies - Posted by on April 8, 2009

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The Market Shows it Pays to be a Contrarian

The Market Shows it Pays to be a Contrarian There are some often cited adages amongst investing commentators and traders, e.g. "Don't try to catch a falling knife", "The trend is your friend.", "Nobody rings a bell at the market bottom.", "Buy on st