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Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 22, 2009

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Blogging Takes A Short Break Until September 6 (due to vacation)

I'll be busy and on vacation the next two weeks visiting Italy, regularly without any internet access and - other than on my last vacation - necessary time (and desire) for analyzing and blogging about the markets day after day. But at least I'll tr

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 21, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Friday – August 21, 2009

Despite the fact that on Thursday's session the market rejected to go down although - from a statistical and historical perspective - it was supposed to do (see my posting Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 20, 2009), at least a red flag (for g

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 20, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 20, 2009

On Wednesday’s session we couldn't have asked for more. The market perfectly complied to the probabilities and odds based on those setups which were triggered on Tuesday’s close, especially to the expected weakness before or on the open and the

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 19, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Wednesday – August 19, 2009

Tuesday’s session (almost) perfectly complied to the probabilities and odds based on those setups which were triggered on Monday’s close, especially to the expected higher open and the bullish bias and buy setup triggered at the end of the first

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 18, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Tuesday – August 18, 2009

Monday's session was the first 90% down day (NYSE Declining Volume accounted for more than 90% of NYSE Volume) since July 2, 2009, and the first session since July 2, 2009 where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) left an unfilled gap on the downside (intra

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 16, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Monday – August 17, 2009

Friday's session again (almost) perfectly complied to the probabilities and odds based on those setups which were triggered on Thursday's close, especially to the bearish bias and sell setup triggered on close of a session and/or right on the open o

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 14, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Friday – August 14, 2009

Thursday's session perfectly complied to the probabilities and odds based on those setups which were triggered on Wednesday's close, especially to the bearish bias and sell setup triggered right on the open of a session (Thursday's session) immediat