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Intraday Stats - Posted by on August 13, 2009

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Follow up: Post-FOMC Sessions and Tradable Edges

This is a follow-up on my posting Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 13, 2009. Due to the fact that ES (E-MINI S&P 500) futures are already up +1.0% at time of writing (05:50am CET), a favorable opportunity on the short side of the market m

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 13, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 13, 2009

Wednesday's session (almost) perfectly complied to the probabilities and odds based on those setups which were triggered on Tuesday's close, especially to the bullish bias beginning on close of a session immediately preceding an FOMC announcement se

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 12, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Wednesday – August 12, 2009

Tuesday's session finally broke the streak of 21 consecutive sessions so far where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) didn't loose -0.60% or more on the close and 12 consecutive session where the BKX Bank Index out-performed the ES (E-MINI S&P 500), an

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 11, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Tuesday – August 11, 2009

Monday's session marked the 21th consecutive session where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) didn't loose -0.60% or more on the close, the 13th out of the last 14 sessions where the BKX Philadelphia Bank Index closed up, and the 12th consecutive session w

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 8, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Monday – August 10, 2009

Friday's session marked the 20th consecutive session where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) didn't loose -0.60% or more on the close, and the 11th consecutive session where the BKX Banking Index out-performed the ES (E-MINI S&P 500). The ES (E-MINI S

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 6, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 6, 2009

I'll be out of office on Friday, so posting will resume over the weekend (for Monday's session). By the way: The most reliable pattern these days seems to be the market't tendency to defy all odds and do the opposite of what it is supposed to do (ju

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 5, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Wednesday – August 5, 2009

Tuesday's session marked the seventeenth consecutive session where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) didn't loose -0.50% or more on the close. The ES (E-MINI S&P 500) opened lower -0.50%, posted an intraday low of -0.75% below Monday's close, but reve