Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 22, 2009
The post had to be updated due to a data issue - the dates shown in setup S5 were the FOMC announcement days, not the pre-FOMC announcement dates - (thanks to a reader), but the positive outlook with respect to Tuesday's close will not change due
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 20, 2009
The market posted an uneventful session on Triple Witching Friday. The ES E-MINI S&P 500 opened higher +0.35%, posted an intraday low of -0.33% below and an intraday high of +0.42% above Thursday's close, and finally closed almost unchanged -0.1
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 18, 2009
On Thursday's session the ES E-MINI S&P 500 posted a higher high (than the previous session’s high) on the 10th consecutive session (6 occurrences since 01/01/1990), but ended it's streak (of up to then 9 consecutive sessions) of under-perform
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 17, 2009
On Wednesday's session the ES E-MINI S&P 500 posted a higher high (than the previous session’s high) on the 9th consecutive session (11 occurrences since 01/01/1990), under-performed the SPXEW S&P 500 Equal Weigthed Index on the 9th consec
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 16, 2009
On Tuesday's session the ES E-MINI S&P 500 posted a higher high (than the previous session’s high) on the 8th consecutive session (22 occurrences since 01/01/1990), under-performed the SPXEW S&P 500 Equal Weigthed Index on the 8th consecut
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 15, 2009
Monday's session (almost) perfectly complied to historical probabilities and odds. The ES E-MINI S&P 500 showed the expected weakness before and on the open and the supposed follow-through of last week's strength (after posting a higher high and
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on September 12, 2009
Friday’s session marked the 6th consecutive session where the ES E-MINI S&P 500 opened up (in comparison to the previous session’s close), posted a higher open than the previous session’s open, posted a higher low and a higher high (t
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