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Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 31, 2009

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TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 2, 2009

Friday's session complied in every way to (the heavily lopsided negative) historical probabilities and odds (even to the magnitude of change on the intraday low and on the close) where either the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) had closed lower at least

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 29, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Friday – October 30, 2009

It might appear that I'm addicted to blogging about the financial markets (my original intention was to take a couple of days off), but some of those setups triggered at today's close are way too interesting. Despite the fact that all major market

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 28, 2009

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Blogging Takes A Short Break

Due to some business and family matters and feeling a bit burnt out after publishing up to 2 posts every day (and currently missing the necessary desire to spent several hours per day analyzing and blogging alongside to trading when the market obvio

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 28, 2009

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Pre-Open Highs & Lows and What They Indicate

A quick note: The ES E-MINI S&P 500 has just posted (06:35 AM CET) an intraday low of -0.75% below Tuesday's close. Even with a GLOBEX low of > -1.0% (not exceeding -1.0% on the downside), ES E-MINI S&P 500 never (out of 26 occurrences s

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 27, 2009

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Trading The Odds On Wednesday – October 28, 2009

The recent failure of regularly bullish setups is getting more and more the rule, not the exception, and the NQ E-MINI NASDAQ 100 will probably have a rough time to comply to recent historical probabilities and odds (’the NQ E-MINI NASDAQ 100 clos

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 26, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Tuesday – October 27, 2009

Although Monday's negative forecast looked liked a totally miss (and as an outlier with respect to the last 20 occurrences) during the first part of the session, the market remembered that once in a while is has to comply to historical probabilitie

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 25, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Monday – October 26, 2009

Despite the fact that the ES E-MINI S&P 500 had not posted a pre-opening low on GLOBEX of -0.25% (or more) which had positive implications (39 higher, 11 lower closes since 11/01/2008) for Friday's (regular) session, the ES E-MINI S&P 500 mo