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Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 23, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Friday – October 23, 2009

Setups Bottom Line Tradable Edges xx At least until the end of the first hour of Thursday's session it seemed that the trading day would be fully compliant (means a probably negative close) to the most recent market history (7 lower closes) a

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 22, 2009

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Short-Term Mean-Reversion vs. Trend-Following

Due to some personal matters, the next posting will be on Sunday, October 25. __________ Wednesday's session provided an excellent example why it pays to not only look at the pure number of winning trades vs. losing trades (Winning Trades in %) a

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 22, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Thursday – October 22, 2009

Setups Bottom Line Tradable Edges xx Although Wednesday's session provided the desired favorable (and profitable) opportunity on the long side when the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was trading approximately -0.70% below Tuesday's close a couple of h

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 20, 2009

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Trading The Odds On Wednesday – October 21, 2009

Setups Bottom Line Tradable Edges xx é voilà. Even Apple's earnings - released after after Monday's close - and the (pre-opening) positive futures were not able to prevent the Russell 2000 from trading significantly below Monday's close (fo

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 19, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Tuesday – October 20, 2009

Setups Bottom Line Tradable Edges xx Monday's session again provided two favorable (and profitable) opportunities, the first one on the short side of the market when the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was trading significantly higher before the open (

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 17, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Monday – October 19, 2009

Setups Bottom Line Tradable Edges xx Trading historical probabilties and odds, currently the market leaves very little cause for complaint. The ES E-MINI S&P 500 not only gapped lower on the open (as indicated by those setups which were t

Daily Commentary - Posted by on October 15, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Friday – October 16, 2009

Setups Bottom Line Tradable Edges xx Although longer-term probabilities and odds were tilt in favor of a negative bias on Friday's session, the market (expectedly) followed recent occurrences which showed a positive tendency (on the close) im