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	<title>Comments on: SPY and MA Envelope</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.tradingtheodds.com/2010/01/spy-and-ma-envelope/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.tradingtheodds.com/2010/01/spy-and-ma-envelope/</link>
	<description>A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager.</description>
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	<item>
		<title>By: CarlosR</title>
		<link>http://www.tradingtheodds.com/2010/01/spy-and-ma-envelope/#comment-4191</link>
		<dc:creator>CarlosR</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 30 Jan 2010 04:18:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradingtheodds.com/?p=30631#comment-4191</guid>
		<description>Thanks very much!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks very much!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: TradingTheOdds</title>
		<link>http://www.tradingtheodds.com/2010/01/spy-and-ma-envelope/#comment-4190</link>
		<dc:creator>TradingTheOdds</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 15:10:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradingtheodds.com/?p=30631#comment-4190</guid>
		<description>Carlos,

no problem:

Distribution of Returns (in %): at-any-time returns are sorted (&#039;ranked&#039;) from best (equals 100%) to worst (equals 0%), and than I determine where the median (not the average) trade with respect to a specific setup is ranked in comparison to the at-any-time distribution of returns. e.g. a rank of 70% means that 50% of all setup specific returns are ranked in the top 30% of at-any-time returns, means the setup-specific distribution of returns is significantly positively skewed. It more a less a direct comparison between the distribution of setup specific returns and at-any-time returns.

Efficiency Long: Represents the sum of all positive returns (in order to check to what extend of the total sum of at-any-time gains were the setup able to catch).

Growth rate -longs-: It&#039;s simply the geometric growth rate of all winnig trades in order to check if -and what extend- the setup were able to catch the top at-any-time winnig trades (those with the maximum rate of change).

Best,
Frank</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carlos,</p>
<p>no problem:</p>
<p>Distribution of Returns (in %): at-any-time returns are sorted (&#8216;ranked&#8217;) from best (equals 100%) to worst (equals 0%), and than I determine where the median (not the average) trade with respect to a specific setup is ranked in comparison to the at-any-time distribution of returns. e.g. a rank of 70% means that 50% of all setup specific returns are ranked in the top 30% of at-any-time returns, means the setup-specific distribution of returns is significantly positively skewed. It more a less a direct comparison between the distribution of setup specific returns and at-any-time returns.</p>
<p>Efficiency Long: Represents the sum of all positive returns (in order to check to what extend of the total sum of at-any-time gains were the setup able to catch).</p>
<p>Growth rate -longs-: It&#8217;s simply the geometric growth rate of all winnig trades in order to check if -and what extend- the setup were able to catch the top at-any-time winnig trades (those with the maximum rate of change).</p>
<p>Best,<br />
Frank</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: CarlosR</title>
		<link>http://www.tradingtheodds.com/2010/01/spy-and-ma-envelope/#comment-4189</link>
		<dc:creator>CarlosR</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 14:56:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradingtheodds.com/?p=30631#comment-4189</guid>
		<description>Hi Frank,

Good work, as usual, thank you.

I have a question about terminology.  Could you define the following terms:

Distribution of Returns (in %)

Efficiency Long

Growth rate -longs-

My apologies if these were covered earlier, I may have missed them.

Thanks.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Frank,</p>
<p>Good work, as usual, thank you.</p>
<p>I have a question about terminology.  Could you define the following terms:</p>
<p>Distribution of Returns (in %)</p>
<p>Efficiency Long</p>
<p>Growth rate -longs-</p>
<p>My apologies if these were covered earlier, I may have missed them.</p>
<p>Thanks.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Toptick</title>
		<link>http://www.tradingtheodds.com/2010/01/spy-and-ma-envelope/#comment-4188</link>
		<dc:creator>Toptick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 13:53:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tradingtheodds.com/?p=30631#comment-4188</guid>
		<description>Excellent work, as always.  Thanks!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Excellent work, as always.  Thanks!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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