Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 20, 2011
Whatever the fundamental or political news are, or even with historical probabilities and odds (heavily) tilt in favor of lower prices over the short-term, the market currently defies all negative odds. At least two noticeable setups were triggere
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 14, 2011
The S&P 500 closed modestly higher today (+0.24%) - fully compliant to historical probabilities and odds (see ‘Successful Investing Is Anticipating the Anticipations of Others.’) -, on a(nother) fresh 52-week high for the second session in a
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 12, 2011
'Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others.' (as quoted in Isms (2006) by Gregory Bergman, p.105) As long as everybody and his grandmother assumes that any 'dip' will provide a favorable buying opportunity, a sizable dip rea
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 9, 2011
Despite the fact that most recently the market regularly defied all probabilities and odds for closing lower, on close of Monday, February 7 2011, another negative setup had been triggered calling for a lower close (SPY: below 131.97) at the end of t
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 7, 2011
At time of writing (2:30 PM), the SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) is currently up +0.79% on the day, and up +2.71% month-to-date on the first session of the second week of the current month. But even taking into account that mean-reversion came a bit out-o
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 3, 2011
Apologies for the posting hiatus during the last week, but a) from my perspective there is not much to blog about (the trend is still up), and b) I've a lot of technical issues with my current domain hosting provider, and I'm preparing to move over t
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