Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 30, 2011
The SPY closed out November 2011 on a strong note, posting its biggest gain of the trailing quarter, up 4.11% on the close. My expectation for Thursday, December 1 is mixed, mainly due to the fact that (at least) two setups were triggered today, unf
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 29, 2011
UPDATE The SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) closed higher on the day, but NOT above Monday's high. Therefore the first setup ( the SPY closing higher on November's release of the Consumer Confidence Index ) had been triggered, the second one ( the SPY closing
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 28, 2011
After closing lower on seven consecutive sessions, with the (ratio) ‘adjusted‘ McClellan Oscillator (20.00% trend, 4% trend) hitting a near record-low on Wednesday, November 23 (see The McClellan Oscillator (Adjusted) ), major market indices fin
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 27, 2011
During the last couple of sessions, major market indices refused to post at least one higher close (the S&P 500 has closed lower for the seventh session in a row now) although historical probabilities and odds were partly significantly tilt in fa
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 27, 2011
With three sessions left in November, it's time to look at the stock market's historical performance in December. As measured by mean returns, the best months for seasonal stock market trends are December (ø 1.59%), followed by July (ø 1.44%), Apr
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 24, 2011
As already presented in Wednesday's posting ( see Now or Never … ) and at first noticed by Rennie Yang from MarketTells (by the way wholeheartedly recommended), the S&P 500 is in extreme oversold territory now, not only characterised by an 2-d
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 23, 2011
I'd to utilize historical S&P 500 closing prices instead of my regular intraday SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) data in order to check for those occurrences where major market indices (stubbornly) defied all positive seasonalities and/or favorable probabi
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