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TRADING THE ODDS

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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much you bet on each trade or wager.


By proceeding beyond this point and/or using the information presented on this site(s) the reader is deemed to have read, understood and fully and without reservation accepted the terms and conditions laid down in the Disclaimer. The information, analysis and commentary on this site is provided for statistical and informational purposes only. Nothing herein should be interpreted or regarded as personalized investment advice or to state or imply that past results are an indication of future performance. The author of this website is not a licensed financial advisor and will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on the content of this website(s). Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation or advice to buy, sell or hold any security.
( Data courtesy of MetaStock http://www.equis.com/ )

Tuesday, March 24, 2009 5:30 AM GMT +1 

ABOUT ME

About me:

I have traded as an individual investor for more than 25 years now, trading for a living since 2007. I take a statistical approach in combination with historical market data to profit in the US equity and future markets, focused on (calendar) spread trading in VIX futures and VIX options (options on futures) since their inception in 2004 and 2006 respectively. In addition, I’m addicted to developing market-neutral algorithmic trading strategies (like pairs trading).

Please accept my apologies for not being a native speaker, and please take respect to the fact that that blog is – and will probably be for the time being - under construction. There is always room for improvement, and your suggestions are always more than welcome.

My email: email@tradingtheodds.com

Please note the following: I accept and display no advertising or link exchanges, and I’m not compensated for or receive benefits in any way whatsoever from anything discussed or even mentioned on the blog.

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THE MISSION OF THE BLOG:

This blog is all about using the power of statistics in combination with historical market data to profit in the US equity and future markets. It is about trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker: The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much you bet on each trade or wager.

Trading is a game of odds NOT certainties, and preserving your equity is vital by taking small losses when you’re wrong and increasing your stake at the right time to maximize profits. Trading is not a game of being right more often than wrong, but all about being profitable. If you are a day/swing trader and believe that trading, for all that it is a game of chance, is to the most part a game of skill, this blog may be for you.

What will be my value-add to the reader ?

  1. (almost) each day I’ll try to comment on interesting pattern in the market’s which might provide a tradable edge for (or over the course of the) the next trading day(s), based on a historical and statistical analysis how those pattern played out in the past,
  2. I’ll present ideas, concepts, and might be even well-engineered algorithmic trading strategies which could at least provide a basis for your own further analysis and research, and finally
  3. with WordPress recently adding the capability to bring Twitter to the blog, I’ll regularly post some intraday updates concerning if -and to what potential extend- the market may provide a tradable edge either for the ongoing or the then following session.

Successful trading
Frank



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DISCLAIMER

The information on this site is provided for statistical and informational purposes only. Nothing herein should be interpreted or regarded as personalized investment advice or to state or imply that past results are an indication of future performance. Under no circumstances does this information represent an advice or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

The author of this website is not a licensed financial advisor and will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on the content of this website, including the information that others post here.

While every effort will be made to provide complete, the most accurate and current information, none of the information on this site is guaranteed to be correct, and anything written here should be subject to independent verification. I make no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability or availability with respect to this blog or the information, analysis, statistics, or related graphics contained on the blog for any purpose.

I may or may not hold positions for myself, my family and/or clients in the securities mentioned here. Actions may have been taken before or after information is presented, and any opinions expressed in this site are subject to change without notice.

Please read the full ... DISCLAIMER

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