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Daily Commentary, Intraday Stats - Posted by on November 15, 2010

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November Option Expiration and Year-End Rally ?

Apologies for the posting hiatus during the last week (I'm currently working on setting up a charitable project). Today (Monday, November 15) will be the first session of  November's option expiration week, historically a positive week for the ma

Intraday Stats - Posted by on January 12, 2010

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'Overbougth' w/strong Uptrend

(ES E-Mini S&P 500) Futures are currently down -0.75% at time of writing (01/12/2010 09:11 AM) forecasting a potential (probably) lower close today (Tuesday). But although a lower close today seemed likely (after a streak of higher closes, a seri

Intraday Stats - Posted by on September 29, 2009

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Pullback After Strong Up Days – Positive or Negative ?

Tuesday's session raises the question if a pullback or a follow-through (of the previous session's strength) immediately following a strong up-day (like on Monday, September 28) would be a positive or negative indication for the then following sessi

Intraday Stats - Posted by on August 13, 2009

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Follow up: Post-FOMC Sessions and Tradable Edges

This is a follow-up on my posting Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 13, 2009. Due to the fact that ES (E-MINI S&P 500) futures are already up +1.0% at time of writing (05:50am CET), a favorable opportunity on the short side of the market m

Intraday Stats - Posted by on July 1, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Wednesday – July 1, 2009 – intraday setup -

With the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) currently trading at 923.50 (up +8, +0.90%) at time of writing (06:30 AM CET), I thought it would be interesting to check if the pre-opening strength in the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) might provide a favorable tradin

Intraday Stats - Posted by on June 29, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Monday – June 29, 2009 -intraday setup-

I posted several tweets during today's session concerning the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) probability and odds for a close below the open on today's (Monday's) session. Before I checked -as always from a historical and statistical perspective- for the

Intraday Stats - Posted by on June 26, 2009

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Trading the Odds on Friday – June 26, 2009 Asian Market's Update

On Friday almost all Asian markets which I regularly follow closed at least modestly, partly significantly higher. Japan's Nikkei 225 closed up +0.83%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up +1.78%, Sydney's ASX All Ordinaries Index closed up +1.25%,