Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on January 10, 2011
Despite the fact that the S&P 500 closed modestly lower on Friday, January 7 (release of the BLS Employment Situation Report) and on Monday, January 10 (the third consecutive lower close), the index finished the first week of the year in a strong
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on January 6, 2011
On Friday, January 7, 2011, the first BLS Employment Situation Report in 2011 will be released. Historically, when the S&P 500 was up at least 1.0% week-to-date from Monday to Thursday (day by day) prior to the Employment Report release, but clos
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on January 4, 2011
The current investor sentiment is still getting a lot of press around the blogosphere, almost always picking out the rapid increases in bullish sentiment and it’s most probably negative (contrary) implications for the market’s short- and in
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on January 2, 2011
The S&P 500 closed 2010 in a strong fashion, up +0.07% on the last week and up +6.53% on the last month of the year, up +10.20% on the 4th quarter, up +22.02% on the last 6 months (semiannually) and up +12.78% on the year. A lot of traders, an
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 30, 2010
Most recently the current investor sentiment got a lot of press around the blogosphere, regularly picking out the rapid increases in bullish sentiment and it’s most probably negative (contrary) implications for the market’s short- and intermed
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 28, 2010
With Monday's (December 27, 2010) session, the SPY (S&P 500 SPDR) closed in the upper half of the daily trading range (above the midpoint) now seven days in a row, regularly (historically) a sign that buying power might be exhausted for the very
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 26, 2010
On Friday's session, the fact that the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) closed up big (+6.60%) ahead of a long weekend although major market indices closed almost unchanged (SPY down -0.14%, S&P 500 down -0.16%, and DJ Ind. up +0.12%) got a lot of att
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