Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 23, 2010
Major market indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial) are currently closing on the highest level for the year almost day-to-day. With respect to historical occurrences and respective probabilities and odds, this will probably have positive implica
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 20, 2010
2011 will be the 3rd year of the so-called Presidential Cycle (made up of four years beginning with the year the president is inaugurated), which usually receives a good amount of publicity especially when it triggers a buy signal for the major marke
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 17, 2010
With Friday's triple witching, we're entering into the last couple of sessions of the running year, and the S&P 500 is already up +5.26% month-to-date, and up +11.46% year-to-date (on close of Thursday, December 16). An interesting question is
Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 14, 2010
On Tuesday's (December 14, 2010), the S&P 500 opened higher and closed higher 6 days in a row (in addition to the fact that the index posted its 9th higher close during the last 10 sessions, the 10th consecutive session with no intraday low less
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 3, 2010
December started with a bang. The S&P 500 gapped up +2.16% on the first session of the month, immediately followed by another strong up-day (S&P 500 +1.28%) for the markets, compliant to positive seasonalities like the turn-of-the-month effec
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 26, 2010
As we're approaching the last month of the year, it's time to check for the market's historical performance in December (see also S&P 500: Best and Worst Performing Month since 1940), as well as the market's performance during the 1st week of Dec
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 5, 2010
I'm currently on a short break, therefore a brief posting only. On Thursday’s session, and utilizing Bollinger Bands %B with a 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 2 standard deviations (for a detailed explanation of the Bollinger Bands %B co
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