Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by on December 23, 2010


Dow Jones Industrial – Year-End and 1st Quarter

Major market indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial) are currently closing on the highest level for the year almost day-to-day. With respect to historical occurrences and respective probabilities and odds, this will probably have positive implica

Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by on December 20, 2010


The Third Year of the Presidential Cycle

2011 will be the 3rd year of the so-called Presidential Cycle (made up of four years beginning with the year the president is inaugurated), which usually receives a good amount of publicity especially when it triggers a buy signal for the major marke

Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by on December 17, 2010


The S&P 500 Between Now and Year-End

With Friday's triple witching, we're entering into the last couple of sessions of the running year, and the S&P 500 is already up +5.26% month-to-date, and up +11.46% year-to-date (on close of Thursday, December 16). An interesting question is

Studies - Posted by on December 14, 2010


SPX: 6 Consecutive Higher Open and Closes

On Tuesday's (December 14, 2010), the S&P 500 opened higher and closed higher 6 days in a row (in addition to the fact that the index posted its 9th higher close during the last 10 sessions, the 10th consecutive session with no intraday low less

Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by on December 3, 2010


Looking Forward to a Strong December

December started with a bang. The S&P 500 gapped up +2.16% on the first session of the month, immediately followed by another strong up-day (S&P 500 +1.28%) for the markets, compliant to positive seasonalities like the turn-of-the-month effec

Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by on November 26, 2010


Seasonalities: The Market’s Performance in December

As we're approaching the last month of the year, it's time to check for the market's historical performance in December (see also S&P 500: Best and Worst Performing Month since 1940), as well as the market's performance during the 1st week of Dec

Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by on November 5, 2010


%B and (really) Overbought ?

I'm currently on a short break, therefore a brief posting only. On Thursday’s session, and utilizing Bollinger Bands %B with a 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 2 standard deviations (for a detailed explanation of the Bollinger Bands %B co