Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on January 27, 2010
On January 17, 2010, I mentioned that although since 01/01/2009 the SPY always posted a higher close (than the trigger day's close) 4 and 5 sessions later (after the SPY’s 2-day RSI closed above 96), it was the first occurrence (since 01/01/2009) t
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 28, 2009
On Thursday's session European indices (and futures on US major market indices) tanked on Dubai news (the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was temporarily down -3.75%), but although US major market indices closed sharply lower on Friday's half trading day, the
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 23, 2009
This is a follow-up to my post TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 23, 2009 . Thanksgiving (exchange holiday, with a shortened session on Friday, November 27) is celebrated on the fourth Thursday in November, this year on November 26. I thought i
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 19, 2009
On Thursday's session market internals were heavily lopsided on the downside, but nevertheless the ES E-MINI S&P 500 managed to close in the upper half of it's daily trading range the fifth day in a row. The ES E-MINI S&P 500 left an unfill
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 14, 2009
On Friday's session the ES E-MINI S&P 500 managed a small gain on the close, but did never seriously challenge Thursday's intraday high. But there was some remarkable weakness beneath the surface: Despite the fact that almost all US major market
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 8, 2009
A couple of minutes ago I noticed that there was another setup triggered on Friday's close, in particular confirming the negative outlook with respect to the first part of Monday's session (see my posting TRADING THE ODDS on Monday – November 9, 20
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on November 4, 2009
Wednesday's FOMC announcement session again perfectly complied to historical probabilities and odds calling for some extensive strength between yesterday's close and the start of Wednesday's last hour of the session. The ES E-MINI S&P 500 gaped
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