Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 10, 2009
As Michael Stokes in his latest (strongly recommended) post The State of Short-Term Mean-Reversion: September, 2009 already pointed out, short-term mean reversion is currently not the 'play du jour', and instead of retracing recent gains (as histori
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 8, 2009
On Thursday’s session the market fully complied to the positive outlook based on those setups which were triggered on Wednesday’s close ( see my posting Trading the Odds on Thursday – October 8, 2009 ). The ES E-MINI S&P 500 (expectedly) o
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 7, 2009
'Against all odds' the ES E-MINI S&P 500 posted it's third consecutive higher close on Wednesday's session, but at least provided the favorable opportunity on the short side when the ES E-MINI S&P 500 was trading higher +0.50% above Tuesday'
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 6, 2009
Monday's remarkable under-performance of the Nasdaq 100 in comparison to the S&P 500 and the historical negative tendency on the then following session ( see my posting Trading the Odds on Tuesday – October 6, 2009 ) did not prevent the bulls
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 5, 2009
On Monday's session the market fully complied to the bullish outlook based on those setups which were triggered on Friday's close (e.g. three consecutive closes below the previous session's low, three consecutive lower lows and lower highs, see my
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on August 8, 2009
Friday's session marked the 20th consecutive session where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) didn't loose -0.60% or more on the close, and the 11th consecutive session where the BKX Banking Index out-performed the ES (E-MINI S&P 500). The ES (E-MINI S
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on July 28, 2009
When almost all major Asian market indices closed higher on Monday's session again (as it was already the case on Thursday's and Friday's session), probabilities and odds were again (the third day in a row) tilt in favor of a positive bias for the U
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