Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 30, 2010
For the session on Monday, March 29 I published a Market Snapshot ( see Setups, Probabilities and Odds ) showing a list of potential setups based on the SPY's current open|high|low|close|first hour|last hour quotes and the then current number of cons
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 28, 2010
I'm just playing around with / testing a mechanism on how to quantify the next session's probabilities and odds for a higher / lower close on the then following session not only based on and triggered by a single setup on the previous session's close
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 21, 2010
Although the efficient-market hypothesis claims that prices of financial assets always exhibit random walk behavior and thus can not be predicted with consistency, history shows that there are a couple of favorable setups based on daily open|high|low
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 15, 2010
With Friday's session, the market showed a level of bullishness rarely observed over the course of the last 20 years: The SPY (S&P 500 SPDR ETF) closed higher on the 11th consecutive session (now 4 occurrences since 01/01/1990), The SPY hasn'
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 11, 2010
On Wednesday's session, and with respect to the SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF), Wilder's Relative Strength Index (RSI) for a 2-day period closed above 95 the sixth day in a row, and above 99 on the fourth consecutive session. With respect to the latter,
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 25, 2010
The RSI-High/Low(2) indicator seems to provide a good indication that buyers will not let the market go down without a fight (see my posting Modified RSI(2), Buying Power and Intermediate-Term Outlook ). But today's recovery from a significant intrad
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 22, 2010
During the last couple of sessions almost all major US market indices showed a remarkable strength concerning their ability to not only recoup almost all of their intraday losses (like on last Friday's session), but to close above the open as well. F
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