Archive

Daily Commentary - Posted by on January 17, 2010

2 Comments

Weakness and Calender Effects

On Thursday last week the SPY fulfilled the bullish setup (see my posting ‘Overbougth’ w/strong Uptrend) which was triggered on the close of Monday, January 11 when the SPY closed lower on a session after the SPY's 2-day RSI closed above 96 (a so

Daily Commentary - Posted by on September 22, 2009

3 Comments

Trading the Odds on Tuesday – September 22, 2009

The post had to be updated due to a data issue - the dates shown in setup S5 were the FOMC announcement days, not the pre-FOMC announcement dates - (thanks to a reader), but the positive outlook with respect to Tuesday's close will not change due

Daily Commentary - Posted by on August 21, 2009

5 Comments

Trading the Odds on Friday – August 21, 2009

Despite the fact that on Thursday's session the market rejected to go down although - from a statistical and historical perspective - it was supposed to do (see my posting Trading the Odds on Thursday – August 20, 2009), at least a red flag (for g

Daily Commentary - Posted by on July 14, 2009

No Comments

Trading the Odds on Tuesday – July 14, 2009

With ES (E-MINI S&P 500) up +15.50/+1.75% after Intel's profit and sales blew past Wall Street's forecasts, it doesn't make sense to publish a posting based on those setups which were triggered on Tuesday's close. Posting will resume after Wedn

Daily Commentary - Posted by on June 17, 2009

15 Comments

Trading the Odds on Thursday – June 18, 2009

Wednesday's session marked the second session in a row where the market (S&P 500) -although not to the same extent as on Tuesday's session, and although the SPY posted at least an intraday high +0.75% above Tuesday's close- did not really comply

Daily Commentary - Posted by on June 16, 2009

4 Comments

Option Expiration Weeks and (Big Down Days on) Mondays

A preliminary note: Due to the fact that I regularly won't be able to prepare a posting with stats and tables during the final minutes of the regular session (which was -understandably- desired by some of my readers), and if you're interested in if