Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary, Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 28, 2010
I'm just playing around with / testing a mechanism on how to quantify the next session's probabilities and odds for a higher / lower close on the then following session not only based on and triggered by a single setup on the previous session's close
Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 23, 2010
This is a follow-up on my previous posting O|H|L|C Probability and Profitability (Part I) looking for historical probabilities and odds with respect to favorable setups on the long side of the market based on daily open|high|low|close prices of the
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 21, 2010
Although the efficient-market hypothesis claims that prices of financial assets always exhibit random walk behavior and thus can not be predicted with consistency, history shows that there are a couple of favorable setups based on daily open|high|low
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 15, 2010
With Friday's session, the market showed a level of bullishness rarely observed over the course of the last 20 years: The SPY (S&P 500 SPDR ETF) closed higher on the 11th consecutive session (now 4 occurrences since 01/01/1990), The SPY hasn'
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 11, 2010
On Wednesday's session, and with respect to the SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF), Wilder's Relative Strength Index (RSI) for a 2-day period closed above 95 the sixth day in a row, and above 99 on the fourth consecutive session. With respect to the latter,
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 7, 2010
First of all it seems that the bullish setup triggered on Friday, February 19, 2010 (five consecutive sessions with an RSI-High/Low (2-day) closing above 95, see my posting Modified RSI(2), Buying Power and Intermediate-Term Outlook) is currently pla
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on March 4, 2010
With Wednesday's session, the SPY posted a second consecutive higher close, but closed below the open (a black 'candle') on both sessions. Although initially one might consider this market behaviour as a short-term bearish pattern, historical occurre
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