Trading The OddsMARKET TIMING & QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS |
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A quantitative approach to profit in the US equity and futures markets, trading the markets like professional card counters are playing Blackjack or expert poker players are playing Poker. The key is to have the odds on your side and bet accordingly, knowing what, when, where, why and how much to bet on each trade or wager. |
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 6, 2010
US major market indices fully complied to historical probabilities and odds when the VIX had surged 20%+ on a single session in the past: The SPY (S&P 500 ETF) showed the expected intraday weakness (follow-through of Thursday's weakness), went up
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on February 5, 2010
Major markets sold off today, with the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) up more than 20%. From a historical and statistical perspective, when the VIX surged 20% or more on a single session in the past, the market regularly turned around the then following
Studies - Posted by TradingTheOdds on December 30, 2009
This is an update to my previous posting How To Make A Million (%) Trading The SPYDER – Part I. By streamlining a couple of conditions and the respective set of parameters as well as utilizing Bollinger Bands for identifying areas of short-term mea
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 31, 2009
Friday's session complied in every way to (the heavily lopsided negative) historical probabilities and odds (even to the magnitude of change on the intraday low and on the close) where either the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) had closed lower at least
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on October 29, 2009
It might appear that I'm addicted to blogging about the financial markets (my original intention was to take a couple of days off), but some of those setups triggered at today's close are way too interesting. Despite the fact that all major market
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on August 12, 2009
Tuesday's session finally broke the streak of 21 consecutive sessions so far where the ES (E-MINI S&P 500) didn't loose -0.60% or more on the close and 12 consecutive session where the BKX Bank Index out-performed the ES (E-MINI S&P 500), an
Daily Commentary - Posted by TradingTheOdds on August 1, 2009
On Friday's session the market complied to the slightly positive tendency based on those setups which were triggered on Thursday's close (see my posting Trading the Odds on Friday – July 31, 2009). But again market internals provided a reliable in
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